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Geospatial Modeling of Earthquake Effects
 

 

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  Using GIS technology, Cornell researchers developed the largest US database ever assembled of spatially distributed transient and permanent ground deformation in conjunction with earthquake damage to water supply lifelines. This research has helped substantially to delineate local geotechnical and seismological hazards in the Los Angeles region that are shown by zones of concentrated pipeline damage after the Northridge earthquake. This research has been performed through MCEER, and resulted in regressions between repair rates for different types of trunk and distribution pipelines and various seismic parameters. The regressions are statistically reliable and have improved predictive capabilities compared with the default relationships currently used in loss estimation programs (O'Rourke and Jeon, 2000). They will be referenced in the next version of HAZUS software that implements the National Loss Estimation Methodology sponsored by FEMA. The regressions and statistical databases are being incorporated in pre-standards for estimating water supply losses developed by the American Lifeline Alliance through ASCE under contract with FEMA. The research has led to the discovery of a relationship for visualizing damage patterns by linking the two dimensional representation of local damage and the grid size used in GIS to analyze the spatial distribution of data (O'Rourke, et al., 2001).

GIS research on visualizing damage patterns in pipeline networks has been extended to buildings. Algorithms developed for pipelines have been modified and validated to select optimal GIS mesh dimensions and contour intervals for visualizing post-earthquake damage patterns in buildings. Robust and statistically significant regressions have been developed between the fraction of existing timber frame buildings at any damage state and magnitudes of various seismic parameters (O'Rourke and Jeon, 2002). Such work improves loss estimation significantly and also creates advanced technology to visualize post-earthquake damage patterns in buildings for rapid decision support and deployment of emergency services.

 
           
       
 

This work is supported primarily by the George E. Brown, Jr. Network for Earthquake Engineering Simulation (NEES) Program of the National Science Foundation under Award Number CMS-0217366.

School of Civil & Environmental Engineering
Cornell University, Ithaca, N.Y. 14853

     
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